Current Situation Of Covid-19 In India

Discussion in 'General Discussions' started by Minion, Apr 25, 2021.

  1. 1Sandhya

    1Sandhya Platinum IL'ite

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    Aww! Look how happy you made your fans!
    Great job!
    You couldn’t be bothered to reply when I laid facts before you earlier (yes I did notice!) and yet come zooming in when you see the chance for a cheap shot.
    Whatever... <shrugs>
     
    Last edited: Jun 16, 2021
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  2. 1Sandhya

    1Sandhya Platinum IL'ite

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    Great categorization! This list reveals more about you actually than about the situation on the ground, especially the right hand column where you have so obligingly provided explanations.
    Left hand column reflects an America that no longer exists and which used to exist till 2016. In 2021 there is only one party. The Democrats, desperately fighting a wanna be authoritarian, white supremacy glorifying, voting rights denying cabal. Time you entered the post Jan 6 brave new world isn’t it?
    I’ll just leave it at that.

    Your long explanation of who he is and his credentials is irrelevant. BS is BS, doesn’t matter what says it.

    There are ample number of reliable, professional, fact checking, news outlets that you could’ve quoted from.
    Yet you chose to bypass all those in favor of some private individuals posting on Twitter and then provide long explanations of who/what they are. Interesting choices.
     
    Last edited: Jun 16, 2021
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  3. Agathinai

    Agathinai Gold IL'ite

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  4. Hopikrishnan

    Hopikrishnan Platinum IL'ite

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    India has a high number of covid-deaths in the 45-&-above age group. 45 to Retirement age is usually the highest earning years in a job/career, as well as the years when major family responsibilities [children's higher education, weddings, etc..] happen. Such sudden changes in the circumstances for many families in India is very real to those surviving family members, and relatives. Undercounting of the covid deaths, for whatever purpose that served the national propaganda, is moot to the bereaved.
    NEW DELHI: About 88 per cent of all Covid-19 deaths in the country are in the age group of 45 years and above, making them the most vulnerable section that needs to be protected, the Union health ministry said on Wednesday.
    Addressing a press conference, Union health secretary Rajesh Bhushan said the case fatality rate in this age group is 2.85 per cent.
    "About 88 per cent of all Covid-19 deaths in the country are taking place in the age group of 45 years and above, making them the most vulnerable group that needs to be protected," he said, adding that this is the reason behind allowing vaccination for those above 45 years from April 1.
    added later after watching Barkha Dutt's youtube on Vaccination gap, seropositivity in India and the 3rd wave. Quite positive sounding interviewee here.

     
    Last edited: Jun 20, 2021
  5. nemesis

    nemesis Platinum IL'ite

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    In retrospect, it wasn't that bad as the alarmists in this thread and the journalists portrayed isn't it?
     

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  6. Minion

    Minion Platinum IL'ite

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    How dangerous will 3rd wave of Covid-19 be? Scientist on govt panel explains

    The government panel statistically looks at the Covid-19 trajectory and predicts the behaviour of the virus. Professor Manindra Agarwal is part of the panel and has predicted the peak of the possible third wave.

    A scientist, who is part of a government panel, has said that a possible third wave of the coronavirus disease (Covid-19) can hit its peak between October-November if Covid-appropriate behaviour is not followed. The panel is tasked with modelling of Covid-19 cases.

    The scientist, Professor Manindra Agarwal, who is working with the Sutra Model, the mathematical projection of the Covid-19 trajectory, said that the third wave may see half the daily cases recorded during the second surge.

    He, however, warned that if a new virulent strain emerges, the infection can spread faster during the third wave.

    "We have created three scenarios. One is optimistic one. In this, we assume that life goes back to normal by August, and there is no new mutant. Second is intermediate one. In this we assume that vaccination is 20% less effective in addition to optimistic scenario assumptions," Professor Agarwal said in one of the tweets he posted on the issue.

    "Third is pessimistic one. This has one assumption different from intermediate one: a new, 25% more infectious mutant spreads in August (it is not delta+, which is not more infectious than delta)," he added in the series of tweets.

    Professor Agarwal then posted the bottom line: "If there is no significantly faster spreading mutant, third wave will be a ripple. And if there is such a mutant, third wave will be comparable to first one. However, if there is an immunity-escape mutant, all the above scenarios will be invalid!"

    The government panel, of which Professor Agarwal is a part, was formed by the Department of Science and Technology last year to forecast the surge of coronavirus cases using mathematical models. M Vidyasagar, another scientist with IIT-Hyderabad, and Lt. Gen Madhuri Kanitkar, Deputy Chief (Medical) of Integrated Defence Staff, are the other members of the panel.

    It was in the eye of the storm for not predicting the ferocity of the second wave of Covid-19 in the country, which wreaked havoc in the months of March and April. On May 7, India had recorded 4,14,188 Covid-19 cases, the highest during the second wave.

    Professor Agarwal, who works with IIT-Kanpur, said while replying to a Twitter user that India is in a better position than the United Kingdom because the second wave was caused by delta. "So a lot of people are now immune against delta unlike UK," he said in the reply.
     
  7. Hopikrishnan

    Hopikrishnan Platinum IL'ite

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    [​IMG]
    If you are a hotelier, and turning away customers because of full bookings, you'd immediately launch a discounted room rate for the Oct-Nov period, with advance payment, and no refunds for change of date or cancellations. If there is a third wave, the government would impose lockdown, and you can count the money in leisure.
     

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